Luis Alberto Lopez vs Angelo Leo Odds, Predictions, Props & Undercard (Aug. 10)
by Brady Trettenero in Boxing
Updated Aug 9, 2024 · 10:20 PM PDT
IBF featherweight world champion, Luis Alberto Lopez, makes weight during the weigh-in at the American Bank Center on Thursday, Sept. 14, 2023, in Corpus Christi, Texas.Luis Alberto Lopez defends his IBF Featherweight title against Angelo Leo on August 10thThe latest boxing odds heavily favor the champion “El Venado” at -500Read on for Lopez vs Leo odds, prediction, props and undercard
Mexican champion Luis Alberto Lopez (30-2, 17 KOs) will put his IBF featherweight title on the line against American challenger Angelo Leo (24-1, 11 KOs) on Saturday, August 10 at the Tingley Coliseum in Albuquerque, New Mexico.
The 12-round championship bout will headline a Top Rank Boxing card exclusively on ESPN+. In the main event, Lopez is a heavy -500 favorite, while the hometown Leo is the underdog. The over/under for total rounds offered at 10.5
Let’s dive into the Leo vs Lopez odds and make our prediction for Saturday’s boxing fight.
Lopez vs Leo Odds
| Prop Method | Luis Alberto Lopez | Angelo Leo |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -500 | +350 |
| Total Rounds (Over/Under) | O 10.5 (-150) | U 10.5 (-125) |
| Will the fight go the distance? | Yes (+190) | No (-250) |
As you can see, oddsmakers heavily favor the defending champion Lopez at -500, with challenger Leo coming back at +350. The Over/Under of 10.5 rounds is juiced to the Over at -150, suggesting this will be a competitive, back-and-forth battle.
For prop bets, a Lopez win by KO/TKO is +200, while a decision victory is favored at -120. If you like the upset, Leo by KO/TKO is a massive +700, while winning on points is +450. The draw is always a longshot at +2000.
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Fight Details
Date: Saturday, August 10, 2024Location: Tingley Coliseum in Albuquerque, New MexicoMain Event Start Time: Approx. 11:30pm ET / 8:30pm PTHow to Watch: ESPN+ (US), Sky Sports Action (UK/Ireland), TSN 2 (Canada)
Undercard
The Lopez vs Leo undercard features several intriguing matchups. Undefeated prospects Lindolfo Delgado (20-0) and Bryan Flores (26-0-1) clash in a flyweight battle. Arnold Khegai (21-1-1) takes on veteran Belmar Preciado (22-7-1) in a featherweight bout.
The card also showcases an all-Albuquerque flyweight showdown between local standouts Matthew Griego (14-0) and Abraham R. Perez (10-0).
Luis Alberto Lopez Betting Analysis
Lopez, the #1 ranked featherweight by The Ring magazine, has established himself as one of boxing’s most exciting champions. The 30-year-old Mexican is a relentless pressure fighter with an unorthodox, hard-to-prepare-for style.
Since winning the IBF title from Josh Warrington in 2022, “El Venado” has made three successful defenses with dominant wins over Michael Conlan (TKO5), Joet Gonzalez (UD12), and most recently Reiya Abe (TKO8). His aggression, granite chin, and improved punching power have been the keys to his championship reign.
To retain his title, expect Lopez to utilize his unorthodox style, close the distance and make this an inside fight. He’ll look to rough up Leo, force a brawl, and capitalize on any defensive lapses with his explosive combinations.
If Leo can’t find a way to keep the hard-charging Lopez at bay, it could be a short, painful night for the challenger.
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Angelo Leo Betting Analysis
Don’t sleep on Angelo Leo. The 30-year-old New Mexico native is a former WBO Super Bantamweight Champion aiming to regain world title status in his second weight class.
Since losing his 122-pound belt to slick boxer Stephen Fulton in 2021, “El Chinito” has reeled off four straight wins to earn this hometown title shot.
NO PRESSURE for the challenger Angelo Leo in his hometown π pic.twitter.com/03GppRlVqA
— Top Rank Boxing (@trboxing) August 8, 2024
Leo will have a 2-inch height & reach advantage over the defending champion. To pull off the upset, he must use his jab, footwork and counterpunching skills to control range and frustrate Lopez’s relentless pressure.
Leo doesn’t have huge knockout power, but he throws fluid combinations and has proven his durability. If you’re feeling bold, you can get the Mexican to win by a KO or TKO at +1000 odds on DraftKings. A successful $100 wager would return $1000.
While Lopez will be the aggressor, Leo has the style and technical skills to pile up points if he can dictate the pace. He’s never been stopped, and his hometown crowd could provide a big boost if this turns into a 12-round battle of attrition.
LopezVSLeo
30-2 Record 24-1 17 Knockouts 11 5’4″ (163 cm) Height 5’6″ (168 cm) 66.5″ (169 cm) Reach 69″ (175 cm) Orthodox Stance Orthodox Lopez vs Leo Prediction
Lopez’s fan-friendly style has made him a rising star and one of boxing’s most TV-friendly fighters. However, styles make fights, and Angelo Leo has the hometown advantage, physical dimensions, and boxing skills to potentially make this a long, grueling affair.
Ultimately, I have to side with the proven champion. Lopez has been the better, more consistent fighter against elite competition lately. His relentless pressure and heavier hands should carry him to another successful title defense, unless Leo can keep him off for 12 rounds.
ππ'π π ππππ ππππ! π₯
Venado Lopez defends his IBF world title against Angelo Leo π₯#LopezLeo | Sunday, 2am pic.twitter.com/T6UBRnn4ON
— Sky Sports Boxing (@SkySportsBoxing) August 5, 2024
If you’re looking for a prop bet, consider Lopez to win by KO/TKO at +200. He’s shown improving power lately, and if Leo fades late, the champ could close the show.
For a safer play, take Over 10.5 rounds at -150. Both guys have proven chins, and while I favor Lopez, Leo is crafty enough to take this into the championship rounds.
The Picks:
Luis Alberto Lopez by late stoppage or clear decisionOver 10.5 Rounds (-150)
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